Short Update: Matthew upgraded to a Hurricane, Modeling trending west
Here’s the latest track forecast for now HURRICANE Matthew.
We have limited disagreement with the NHC track at this time, but we do think the storm could slip very near or on top of Jamaica as it turns northward. Our forecast from yesterday is still our best thinking for what will happen.
Beyond that time, interests along the US East Coasy (particularly near Cape Hatteras, where the most intense impacts, if any, may be felt) should pay very close attention to this storm.
Current information from the NHC:
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 67.0 West. Matthew is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a general westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force-winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 42059 has recently reported sustained winds of 47 mph (76 km/h) with a gust to 54 mph (86 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 993 mb (29.32 inches).
With computer guidance trending more west with time, NOW is the time to begin making your preparations should you have near-coastal interests in the Mid-Atlantic states.
We can’t rule out Florida impacts just yet, but it definitely looks like the most likely longterm affects may north and east of that state.
Updates will be issued as warranted.
Meteorologist Logan Poole